Labor on Track for 1997-Style Landslide Over Tories: Poll Says

(Bloomberg) —

Labor holds a 17-point lead over the Conservative Party, setting up a potential landslide win at the next general election similar to Tony Blair’s in 1997, according to a BMG survey for the i newspaper.

The poll shows voters favoring Keir Starmer’s Labor Party on most issues, from the cost of living, housing and the National Health Service to traditional Tory priority areas like crime, defense and Brexit. The only area where Conservatives were favored was on the war in Ukraine.

When asked about their satisfaction with party leaders, respondents put Prime Minister Rishi Sunak at net approval of -20, compared to +3 for Starmer.

The survey was consistent with expectations for the Conservatives to face a wipe-out at the next general election, to be held no later than January 2025. Labor in 1997 won a 179-seat majority under Blair’s leadership. Some projections see many top Tory MPs losing their seats.

If an election were to be held now, about 46% of the public would vote for Labor, 29% for the Conservatives, 9% for the Liberal Democrats, 6% for Reform UK, and 4% for the Green Party.

BMG Research polled 1,500 adults online from Feb. 21 to Feb. 23. No margin of error was given.

Starmer recently set out his party’s five long-term “missions” for Britain if Labor wins power, and pledged that the UK would see the “highest sustained growth” in the Group of Seven nations, ensure the ailing NHS is rendered fit for the future , and make Britain a “clean energy superpower.”

Read more: Can Labor’s Pledges Get Britain to Top the G-7 Growth League?

©2023 Bloomberg LP

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